Sister blog of Physicists of the Caribbean in which I babble about non-astronomy stuff, because everyone needs a hobby

Tuesday, 6 November 2018

The unstable feedback of meritocratic societies

I was thinking vaguely about what talent really means in the talent-luck simulations and whether it's even possible to reward people based exclusively on their ability. I suppose that's almost possible in athletic competitions or in manual labour : you can directly and objectively measure their output. And that's certainly a bajillion times better than rewarding people based on class or race or whatever, no doubt about that. But is it truly fair ? Perhaps not. You'd still be rewarding them partly based on the results of a genetic lottery, i.e. luck. Their effort would be a very important component but you can't eliminate luck completely. You also can't really measure how difficult something is in relative terms : tasks which are easy for some require monumental efforts for others, even if they receive equal training.

Still, for jobs where sheer output is what counts - how much coal you've shovelled, how many PC's you've fixed, how many teeth you've repaired - at least something can be measured that ties roughly to ability. For others, measuring ability is much harder. Can you really judge skill by the popularity of a novel, or the number of citations a paper receives ? I doubt it. There's also a risk of rewarding people because they've been rewarded (I can vouch for that from personal experience but more on that in a future post).

My feeling is not that a meritocracy is a fair system but that it's the fairest system we've got. Plato's Republic is a testament to the perils of taking that to extremes, e.g. raising children with the state-determined "best" guardians rather than their natural parents. Even giving everyone the same opportunities to limit the potential for unfair advantages can be problematic (same example).

Even if a Universal Basic Income turns out to be economically or otherwise problematic, I'm ideologically inclined towards its social perspective. We should use rewards as incentives and punishments as deterrents, but not to the point of absurdity. Everyone should be able to live with a basic level of dignity without having to struggle for it. They should be rewarded for doing jobs that demand particularly high (or unusual) abilities, but not to a degree that it would require the worst off to live in squalor. Punishment should be metered out largely as a means of reform (I reserve judgement on whether it should ever be used for other purposes), and should never be so harsh that it actually prevents people from reforming (https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-46104333). Punishment does have a very important role, but in general, I favour encouraging success more than punishing failure for the sake of it. We also need to consider the consequences of rewards very carefully, as the article says.

Anyway, from the article :

We have rejected the old class society. In moving toward the meritocratic ideal, we have imagined that we have retired the old encrustations of inherited hierarchies. As Young knew, that is not the real story. Working-class consciousness – legible in the very name of the Labour party, founded in 1900 – spoke of class mobilisation, of workers securing their interests. The emerging era of education, by contrast, spoke of class mobility – blue collars giving way to white. Would mobility undermine class consciousness? These questions preyed on Young.

What drove him was his sense that class hierarchies would resist the reforms he helped implement. He explained how it would happen in a 1958 satire, his second best-seller, entitled The Rise of the Meritocracy. Like so many phenomena, meritocracy was named by an enemy. Young’s book was ostensibly an analysis written in 2033 by a historian looking back at the development over the decades of a new British society. In that distant future, riches and rule were earned, not inherited. The new ruling class was determined, the author wrote, by the formula “IQ + effort = merit”. Democracy would give way to rule by the cleverest – “not an aristocracy of birth, not a plutocracy of wealth, but a true meritocracy of talent.” This is the first published appearance of the word “meritocracy”, and the book aimed to show what a society governed on this principle would look like.

Young’s vision was decidedly dystopian. As wealth increasingly reflects the innate distribution of natural talent, and the wealthy increasingly marry one another, society sorts into two main classes, in which everyone accepts that they have more or less what they deserve. He imagined a country in which “the eminent know that success is a just reward for their own capacity, their own efforts”, and in which the lower orders know that they have failed every chance they were given. “They are tested again and again … If they have been labelled ‘dunce’ repeatedly they cannot any longer pretend; their image of themselves is more nearly a true, unflattering reflection.”

But one immediate difficulty was that, as Young’s narrator concedes, “nearly all parents are going to try to gain unfair advantages for their offspring”. And when you have inequalities of income, one thing people can do with extra money is to pursue that goal. If the financial status of your parents helped determine your economic rewards, you would no longer be living by the formula that “IQ + effort = merit”.

Researchers tell us that higher education is now a great stratifier. Economists have found that many elite US universities – including Brown, Dartmouth, Penn, Princeton, and Yale – take more students from the top 1% of the income distribution than from the bottom 60%. To achieve a position in the top tier of wealth, power and privilege, in short, it helps enormously to start there. “American meritocracy,” the Yale law professor Daniel Markovits argues, has “become precisely what it was invented to combat: a mechanism for the dynastic transmission of wealth and privilege across generations.”

That would seem to be a good argument against prohibitively expensive tuition fees.

Young believed, the problem was not just with how the prizes of social life were distributed; it was with the prizes themselves. A system of class filtered by meritocracy would, in his view, still be a system of class: it would involve a hierarchy of social respect, granting dignity to those at the top, but denying respect and self-respect to those who did not inherit the talents and the capacity for effort that, combined with proper education, would give them access to the most highly remunerated occupations. This is why the authors of his fictional Chelsea Manifesto – which, in The Rise of the Meritocracy, is supposed to serve as the last sign of resistance to the new order – ask for a society that “both possessed and acted upon plural values”, including kindliness, courage and sensitivity, so all had a chance to “develop his own special capacities for leading a rich life”. Even if you were somehow upholding “IQ + effort = merit”, then your equation was sponsoring a larger inequality.

“It is good sense to appoint individual people to jobs on their merit,” Young wrote. “It is the opposite when those who are judged to have merit of a particular kind harden into a new social class without room in it for others.” The goal is not to eradicate hierarchy and to turn every mountain into a salt flat; we live in a plenitude of incommensurable hierarchies, and the circulation of social esteem will always benefit the better novelist, the more important mathematician, the savvier businessman, the faster runner, the more effective social entrepreneur. We cannot fully control the distribution of economic, social and human capital, or eradicate the intricate patterns that emerge from these overlaid grids. But class identities do not have to internalise those injuries of class. It remains an urgent collective endeavour to revise the ways we think about human worth in the service of moral equality.

Via Simon B https://plus.google.com/u/0/+SimonB?cfem=1 (G+ won't tag the right Simon).
https://www.theguardian.com/news/2018/oct/19/the-myth-of-meritocracy-who-really-gets-what-they-deserve

14 comments:

  1. I thought this was an interesting and relevant take. It makes the case that whenever we step beyond brute measurement and have to do things in a social context, that performance on both fronts (typically completely different domains of expertise) that a blend of smart and social skill is required. A less competent person with social skills is favored over someone more competent but less able to navigate the social waters effectively. Relational currency is often as much, or more important than competence. Then there's the luck thing. I could be missing something.

    journals.uchicago.edu - The Secret to Human Success Is Being Half-Smart and Half-Social | Current Anthropology: Vol 57, No 6

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  2. A couple of thoughts:
    1) I don't believe in 'deserve.' It's maybe not that relevant in this particular case, but that's a concept that allows all kinds of awful behavior in the world. It's the concept that allows anyone to justify any horrible thing they might want to do. But more than that will start an entirely different conversation. The idea comes from Marshall Rosenberg's work (known as Nonviolent Communication or Compassionate Communication).

    2) On your "sheer output" jobs--I'd say many of those still are really wiggly because how they are done can also have a big impact on the value of the work. Would you rather go to a dentist who fixes your teeth super efficiently but with a lot of pain, or one who does it with a less efficient but pain-free process?

    3) Nobody mentions the currency system when talking about this kind of thing either. The currency system itself systemically tips things in favor of certain people and makes some form of poverty inevitable. Then again, different alternatives that have been made over the years often do the same thing, just with different groups of people.

    For example, Ithaca HOURS, which bases its value on an hour of work, is not really used by those whose work requires lots of risk or cost to be able to do (firefighters, or surgeons). It's fair in the sense that an hour is an hour for everyone, but it privileges those who do frequently used but not very skilled work and ignores the inherent costs of higher skilled work. But it's fair! Well, kind of.

    I tried to start a different system of community/complementary currency a number of years back, and could go on for hours on the impact that currency has on all of this kind of thing. I bring it up not because it's specifically relevant to this article in particular, but because it's a thing that's pretty close to never mentioned when trying to figure out these problems.

    The way currency is issued is not value-neutral, and using any currency supports the values embedded in its creation.

    And I promise when I have more time I'll read the whole article, too. :)

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  3. "Meritocracy is the political philosophy in which political influence is assigned largely according to the intellectual talent and achievement of the individual. Michael Young coined the term,formed by combining the Latin root "mereĊ" and Ancient Greek suffix "cracy", in his essay to describe and ridicule such a society, the selective education system that was the Tripartite System, and the philosophy in general." -- wikipedia --

    I tend to subscribe to the notion that with additional privilege comes greater responsibility, regardless of how that privilege was arrived at. If a society were to practice such a thing the end result would be egalitarian as apposed to meritocratic. My way of thinking about it is more akin to Kantian ethics or even some variation on stoicism rather than a merit based system.

    Also: The only thing you can do regarding topics such as this is ask questions and then, if ambitious enough, seek further understanding of the issue. This always leads me down the rabbit hole of philosophy and then I get tangled up in a web of names, places, times and philosophical ideas that I have to extricate myself from usually before actually learning anything or making sense out of anything I've read - but I still do it.

    In any case: I think the article gives a good description of Baron Young's practical - idealism and his political philosophy. His notions are ones that I agree with (now that I know about him). Thanks for the post.

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  4. Oh... and I'm not sure about this but I think the UBI is a way to get money into an economy that has a shrinking job market while helping to keep inflation in check. So it's really not intended to be a merit based thing.

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  5. Rhys Taylor - On this topic, might I suggest reading about Michael Tellinger's Contributionism and the Venus Project's resource based economy?

    https://ubuntuplanet.org/what-is-ubuntu/

    https://www.thevenusproject.com/resource-based-economy/
    ubuntuplanet.org - What is Ubuntu

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  6. Michael J. Coffey I believe in "deserve" in the sense of expectation or entitlement. If someone follows the rules they should expect the specified consequences to be enacted, otherwise there's chaos. E.g. if they work hard, they can expect a raise; if they commit bribery they can expect punishment. Whether they really deserve it in the deeper sense of whether those consequences are appropriate, or that they must be enacted regardless of circumstance or effect, that's much harder. E.g. someone already receiving obscene amounts of money might not really "deserve" even more; someone genuinely repentant of a crime and already reformed so that they won't commit it again may not really "deserve" punishment for the sake of it. That's the sense in which I reserve judgement.

    On sheer output jobs having wiggle-room, I agree absolutely.

    I'm not sure what you mean about the currency system. Could you explain a bit more ?

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  7. John Gambini I agree about UBI. If I gave the impression that I thought it was merit-related, then that wasn't my intent. I look at it more from the perspective of, "what the hell is the point in forcing people to suffer ?". The major exception would be temporary suffering intended as a punishment (especially when done as a means of reform or a deterrent). But as a way of life, causing people prolonged suffering is absolutely stupid.

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  8. Rhys Taylor - As one who has essentially been in "forced retirement" (read unemployed) for over six years now, I agree. Had you asked me five years ago if I'd be unemployed for six years, I'd have said, "No way!"

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  9. David Lazarus I read through some of the Ubuntu stuff but the wi-fi keeps cutting out so I'll look at the Venus project tomorrow.

    I agree that a better, fairer system is possible and necessary. I don't think Contributionism is the answer, it feels like a very naive approach to psychology and economics. Human behaviour creates the systems that drive it; the feedback is highly complex, but some behaviours are innate. Any system attempting to improve the world has to manage and direct those innate behaviours rather than ignoring them or hoping it can prevent them. I don't think Contributionism properly accounts for greed, but I do think there are better ways of managing it than we have currently.

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  10. Rhys Taylor - Contributionism is somewhat of an incomplete solution. That is why I said that we need to combine the two approaches. Capitalism both encourages and drives greed. The Inca and pre-Inca cultures are proof positive that humans are capable of living without greed. Before the Spanish invasion, the Inca culture had no words for theft or adultery.

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  11. Rhys Taylor Re: deserve, I can agree with you on the sense of "ought to be able to expect." That's essentially the universal human need of trust, rather than a weapon of moral judgment.

    Re: the currency system. This is another area where I can go on, so I'll try to just barely give the skin only of the next single layer of that particular onion. And it'll be way oversimplified. And I'll anchor it with this quote from the article: "Because, Young believed, the problem was not just with how the prizes of social life were distributed; it was with the prizes themselves. A system of class filtered by meritocracy would, in his view, still be a system of class: it would involve a hierarchy of social respect, granting dignity to those at the top, but denying respect and self-respect to those who did not inherit the talents and the capacity for effort that, combined with proper education, would give them access to the most highly remunerated occupations."

    Virtually every national currency in the world works the same way, but I'm speaking primarily from my knowledge of the US instance.

    Money is created by the Federal Reserve (or whatever a country calls its central bank). Located there is the Holy Checkbook of Dollars (not its real name), which the High and Most Holy Banker of All the Land can use to write checks--usually to the government when it overspends which it always does because there's a Holy Checkbook whenever they need more. It is the miracle of banking that this Holy Checkbook exists without any connection to any checking account in this earthly world. Yet the Holy Checks can always be deposited as with any other worldly check. But as with all worthy magic, there are rules. Under no circumstances can a Holy Check be written without getting something in return--it can only be written as a loan, to be repaid with interest.

    All money in existence can trace its heritage back to a Holy Check. But because of the magical rules, there is always more debt than money, because debt begins growing the instant it comes into existence, but the money to pay the debt does not grow. The total amount of money only grows when a new Holy Check is written... which starts a new equivalent amount of debt that instantly starts growing.

    This tension causes competition. Who can built tracks in front of their moving train the most effectively? Who will run out of resources before their portion of the debt comes due? Because there is no money to pay any of the interest on any of the debt. You have to out-compete other people to get their money so that you can pay your portion of the interest. And if you do that, they can't pay their own debt.

    As a result, financial losers and poverty are built-in features of the currency. If we continue to use the dollar (or the pound, or the yen, or the rupee), there will always and forever be people who are crushed by the ever-growing interest.

    So touching base with the quote, "...the problem was not just with how the prizes of social life were distributed; it was with the prizes themselves." The prizes, for my purposes, would be money. And if meritocracy is built on "IQ + effort = merit" then those who didn't win the genetic lottery for IQ are by default the ones crushed under the wheels of someone else's debt train. Because with the currency system we have, someone must be crushed.

    And that leads to the second part of the quote, where there'd "still be a system of class" "granting dignity to those at the top, but denying respect and self-respect" to others. If we keep the currency system we have, we are required to divide people into those who have trains and those who are crushed, because crushing some people for the benefit of train owners is a system requirement.

    This is the true

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  12. price of using the Holy Checks, but the High Banker can't say that aloud or people would demand to stop using them and the High Banker would lose his position. So he waves his hands and talks about the loans and economic growth and per capita GDP and the importance of balancing trade deficits and of course that it's important that the distribution method of the money be fair. But never, ever is the method of creation, which requires crushing people, to be brought up.

    Edit: As it applies to the question of talent vs. luck, the Holy Checkbook doesn't care. It will drink the blood of the unlucky or the untalented or the unmerited or the uncompetitive with equal gusto.

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  13. Michael J. Coffey Thanks for the detailed reply. Actually it reminds me strongly of this (I haven't read it in a while but I remember the story) :
    sacred-economics.com - Sacred Economics: Chapter 6, "The Economics of Usury" - Sacred Economics | Charles Eisenstein

    Some of my own musings on what it might take to create a better system can be found here :
    https://astrorhysy.blogspot.com/2016/10/what-some-nerd-thinks-about-star-trek-ii.html

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  14. Hello.
    I have written the complete theory of everything. The main understanding for us humans - is that this reality is imperfect, and the perfect principles - now have been found. This includes the right human system (government & society); which of course is - Meritocracy.
    For more details and to join the community - Meritocracy (high-equilibrium)

    There is also a FaceBook group - https://www.facebook.com/Meritocracy-343813572848887/?modal=admin_todo_tour

    ReplyDelete

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